The Barometer has said it before, but bears repeating: How many times of we have to go through these genius scams before we recognize them for the frauds that they are? To no one’s surprise, except perhaps FTX investors and its employees, that crypto currency darling turned out to be a scam run by a nerd that was propped up by the online braggadocio of Caroline Ellison who ran Alameda, another company founded by Mr. Bankman-Fried. Ms. Ellison has a string resemblance to Pippi Longstocking,
The nerd and his gal-pal did very well, for a time. They were darlings of the field of philanthropy and Democrats in Congress. John Jay Ray III, one of the biggest names in sorting through bankrupt companies, including Enron, concluded that this one is the biggest mess he has ever seen. Alameda now owes FTX $10 billion for loans it received. FTX owes $8 billion to creditors. We are into territory doubling and tripling previous scandals. David-Yaffe Bellamy, “Chief Tapped to Clean Up FTX Calls Mess the Worst He’s Ever Seen,” New York Times November 18, 2022, p. B1
So, some safety tips for proactive recognition of fraud in place of the post-mortem outrage coupled with, “Who knew?”
- If you are investing in a company run by a guy who looks like Jerry Robinson from The Bob Newhart Show, but with worse clothes, you may be taking some risks.
- If the founder of the firm you are investing in says that he will be using his money to “prevent nuclear war” and “future pandemics,” you might have a trickster on your hands. If “altruism” is their buzzword, it means they are doing good with your money.
- Watch for posts by executives, such as Ms. Ellison. Her are a few of her musings. Following a phone call with CEOs of other companies, she posted, “Oh, thank god [sic], I think I fooled them into thinking I’m a real adult.” (Tumblr) And revealing the habits of trades at Alameda and FTX, she wrote, “Nothing like regular amphetamine use to make you appreciate how dumb a lot of normal, nondedicated human experience is.” (Twitter).
- If the founder of the firm you are investing in is cozying up to lawmakers with donations and regulators with advice to keep both at bay, you may be investing in another Enron.
- If the founder of the firm that has your cash is running away (on camera) from Tom Brady, another investor, as Mr. Brady did an endorsement, you may be taking a leap into a bankrupt firm.
- If the firm you are investing in is loaded with Hollywood and entertainment world A-listers, well, study history. In particular, see all the folks who were duped by Madoff, Elizabeth Holmes and Sunny at Theranos, and CDOs at banks pre-2008.
- If Maxine Waters heads the committee that would regulate the firm you are investing in, run away. Her oversight is so well done that she has missed the collapse of Fannie Mae as well as the dramatic blow-up of mortgage and real estate markets in 2008. In the case of FTX, she was filmed blowing kisses to Sam Backman-Fried following his appearance at a hearing.
- If the firm you are investing in is an ESG darling, sprint away. The criterion for being a “good” company in that endeavor does not calculate fraud into its definitions for environmental and social responsibility or corporate governance. If they did, the girlfriend might not have been running FTX.
- If the firm you are investing in is hopping into a new field with only a little proven track record, stand back and let others get it all straightened around.
- If the board members are the same at the trading firm working with your firm, you have some conflicts issues that should have been raised and addressed.
- Hindsight is indeed 20/20, and it is readily available through the study of history? How many Professor Harold Hills does it take to make innocent and gullible fall for 76 trombones every time? Repent, all ye sheep who find the next-great richer-than-ever dreams. Become wary of the too-good-to-be-true hucksters, especially those who look like Peter Bonerz.
David Yaffe-Bellany, Lora Kelley, and Cade Metz, “Collapse of FTX Puts Focus on Obscure Crypto Trader,” New York Times, November 24, 2022, p. B1.